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> (2018) What’s the future of technology scaling?
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(2018) What’s the future of technology scaling?
Источник: https://www.sigarch.org/whats-the-future-of...nology-scaling/
Автор: by David Brooks on Oct 18, 2018

QUOTE
It isn’t every day that a major company throws in the towel on Moore’s Law, so it is worth noting the announcement by GLOBALFOUNDRIES (GF) to halt development of the 7nm process node. With this announcement, there are now only three major vendors — Intel, Samsung, and TSMC — that continue to invest in bleeding edge fabrication nodes (SMIC is also investing in 7nm, but currently their most advanced node is 28nm).


QUOTE
My crystal ball…

The end of Moore’s Law has been predicted since at least the middle of the 1990s. In fact, Charles Mann’s article in MIT’s Technology Review in 2000 described dark clouds for semiconductor scaling past 180nm, but also cautiously stated, “The end of Moore’s Law has been predicted so many times that rumors of its demise have become an industry joke.” At the risk of being the butt of such a joke now or in the distant future, I offer three predictions.


QUOTE
Prediction #1: Technology scaling will continue to deliver benefits to certain markets

Prediction #2: Beloved computing abstractions will fail, opening new opportunities for innovation

Prediction #3: Democratization of technology will result in a golden age for computer architecture


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